Investigating the link between firm births and job creation in British regions, 1980-98: Is there a Upas Tree effect?
15 december 2003
We examined the relationship between firm
births and job creation in Great Britain. We used a new data set for 60 British
regions, covering the whole of Great Britain, between 1980 and 1998. The
relationship between new firm start-ups and employment growth has previously
been examined either with no time lag or with only a short period lag. We found,
for Great Britain as a whole, no significant relationship between start-ups and
employment creation in the 1980s, but a negative relationship for the 'low
enterprise' area of Northern England. For the 1990s, we found a significant
positive relationship for Great Britain as a whole but for Scotland, which
focussed policy on start-ups, a negative relationship. We feel this raises
questions over policies designed to raise rates of new firm formation as a
strategy for employment creation, particularly in 'low enterprise' areas. This
paper was previously published as Research Report H200108 and as Scales Paper
N200202. The major change compared to the previous version entails separate
studies of region-specific deviations in the relationships. The effect of the
number of start-ups on growth was found to be significantly smaller in regions
with relatively low numbers of start-ups, also called the 'Upas Tree effect'.
Auteur(s): dr. A. J. van Stel, prof. D.J. Storey
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